The Kremlin has proposed a three-day ceasefire in May to coincide with Russia’s celebrations of the end of World War II, amidst calls from Ukraine for an unconditional 30-day ceasefire and the US for a permanent one. However, Russia is demanding concessions, particularly the removal of sanctions, before discussing a lasting pause or permanent peace. These sanctions, especially those restricting the aviation sector, serve as a significant constraint on Russia’s military capabilities.
The aviation sanctions are crucial in limiting Russia’s ability to procure military technology and impede its military logistics. Russia’s civil aviation sector has been exploited for military purposes, with airlines and airports actively supporting Russia’s illegal invasion of Ukraine. Normalizing air links would not only benefit Russia economically but also relieve pressure for peace and potentially increase support for continuing the war.
It is essential to recognize the effectiveness of these sanctions and not rush to unwind them. Instead, measures should be taken to strengthen monitoring of supply chains, hold accountable companies involved in military logistics, and ensure that relief in the aviation sector is conditional on Moscow’s commitment to peaceful relations with Ukraine. As long as Russia persists in its unlawful aggression, maintaining the aviation sanctions is crucial to prevent further military escalation and protect Ukrainian airspace.
Andriy Yermak, head of the Ukrainian presidential office, emphasizes the importance of not making premature concessions that could undermine efforts for a just, fair, and lasting peace in the region.
