The US bombing campaign in Yemen under Donald Trump’s administration has been notably active, with over 800 strikes against Houthi targets since the beginning of the year, averaging 50 strikes per week. This military engagement, despite Trump’s reputation for avoiding military action, has been instrumental in the region, with two aircraft carrier strike groups deployed as a warning to Iran. The conflict has also impacted global commerce, costing billions of dollars. However, a recent announcement by Trump signals a potential shift, as the US plans to cease bombing in Yemen following indications that the Houthis are no longer seeking conflict.

Oman played a key mediating role in reaching this agreement, marking a significant success for Trump and a potential relief for Israel, which has benefited from US and UK strikes against regional adversaries. The resilient nature of the Houthis, who withstood years of Saudi-led bombing campaigns, raises questions about the future dynamics in the region. Recent missile attacks on Israel have heightened tensions, with expectations of further responses. The evolving situation poses challenges for Israel, especially if the US shifts focus towards a nuclear deal with Iran, potentially altering its military support in the region.

Overall, the developments in Yemen reflect a complex geopolitical landscape with implications for various stakeholders, including the US, Iran, Israel, and regional dynamics. The outcome of these shifts remains uncertain, with potential ramifications for future military engagements and diplomatic efforts in the Middle East.