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July 4, 2025

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“Unlocking the Secrets of Regime Change in Tehran: Why History Tells Us It’s a Tough Nut to Crack | Insights from Martin Kettle”

The article delves into the complex and challenging nature of regime change, particularly in the context of Iran. Drawing on historical military strategies and examples, the author highlights the significant difficulties involved in toppling oppressive regimes like that in Tehran. While the desire to remove repressive regimes is understandable, the practical implications and consequences of such actions are far-reaching and often underestimated.

The author emphasizes the inherent complexities of regime change, cautioning against the simplistic notion that destruction automatically leads to positive change. Drawing parallels with past interventions in Afghanistan, Iraq, and Libya, the article underscores the potential pitfalls of military interventions without a clear plan for governance post-regime removal.

Despite the oppressive nature of the Iranian regime and its global implications, the article raises questions about the feasibility and aftermath of regime change. The absence of a cohesive opposition or plan for governance in Iran, coupled with the potential for prolonged instability and chaos following a regime collapse, underscores the need for careful consideration and strategic planning.

While the desire to see a more democratic and peaceful Iran is valid, the article urges caution and a realistic assessment of the challenges and uncertainties associated with regime change. Historical examples of revolutionary regime changes serve as cautionary tales, emphasizing the need for comprehensive international cooperation and long-term planning to avoid exacerbating existing problems.

In conclusion, the article advocates for a nuanced approach to addressing the issues in Iran, highlighting the complexities and risks involved in pursuing regime change without a clear roadmap for stability and governance in the aftermath. The author’s insights serve as a reminder of the intricate nature of geopolitics and the importance of thoughtful deliberation before embarking on such transformative endeavors.

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